Business & Economics Books:

Forecasting High-Frequency Volatility Shocks

An Analytical Real-Time Monitoring System
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$148.00
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Description

This thesis presents a new strategy that unites qualitative and quantitative mass data in form of text news and tick-by-tick asset prices to forecast the risk of upcoming volatility shocks. Holger Kömm embeds the proposed strategy in a monitoring system, using first, a sequence of competing estimators to compute the unobservable volatility; second, a new two-state Markov switching mixture model for autoregressive and zero-inflated time-series to identify structural breaks in a latent data generation process and third, a selection of competing pattern recognition algorithms to classify the potential information embedded in unexpected, but public observable text data in shock and nonshock information. The monitor is trained, tested, and evaluated on a two year survey on the prime standard assets listed in the indices DAX, MDAX, SDAX and TecDAX.

Author Biography:

Dr. Holger Kömm is research associate at the chair of statistics and quantitative methods in the economics & business department of the Catholic University Eichstätt-Ingolstadt. 
Release date NZ
February 16th, 2016
Author
Audience
  • Professional & Vocational
Edition
1st ed. 2016
Illustrations
17 Tables, black and white; 19 Illustrations, black and white; XXIX, 171 p. 19 illus.
Pages
171
Dimensions
148x210x12
ISBN-13
9783658125950
Product ID
24465212

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